Ontario general election, 2007
The Ontario general election of 2007 is scheduled to be held on October 4, 2007 to elect members of the Legislative Assembly of the Province of Ontario, Canada. As a result of legislation passed by the Legislature in 2004, election dates are now fixed by formula so that an election is held approximately four years after the previous election, unless the government is defeated by a vote of "no confidence" in the Legislature. Previously, the governing party had considerable flexibility to determine the date of an election within five years of being elected.
The general election will elect Ontario's 39th Legislative Assembly. The leader of the party with the most seats normally becomes the next premier of the province, unless the other two political parties together hold a majority of seats and decide to form a coalition government.
Opinion polls
Since the 2003 general election, several polls have been conducted to determine the current preference of voters. They showed a severe decline in Liberal support following the 2004 Ontario budget. However the numbers currently suggest the NDP has gained a lot more support since 2003. While the Tories and Liberals have remained near-static.
Note that the majority of dates listed here are dates the polls were released, not conducted.
 Date poll finished being conducted. Released December 11, 2004.
Results by party
1. By law, Ontario's electoral districts conform with the federal electoral districts, however changes could be made to keep minimum representation in certain areas (e.g., in northern districts).
Ridings
With the passing of Bill 214 and the Representation Act, 2005, 2005, Ontario’s electoral boundaries will no longer be identical to the federal electoral boundaries. Beginning with the next provincial general election on October 4, 2007, Ontario will be divided into 107 electoral districts. The districts will consist of 11 northern electoral districts that are identical (except for a minor boundary adjustment) to the ones that existed on October 2, 2003, and 96 southern electoral districts that are identical to their federal counterparts, as they existed on September 1, 2004.
The 11 northern electoral districts are: Algoma—Manitoulin, Kenora—Rainy River, Nickel Belt, Nipissing, Parry Sound—Muskoka, Sault Ste. Marie, Sudbury, Thunder Bay—Atikokan, Thunder Bay—Superior North, Timiskaming—Cochrane, and Timmins—James Bay.
Ontario 107 electoral districts
Timeline
May 13, 2004 - Andrea Horwath of the NDP is elected in a by-election in Hamilton East and collects over 60% of the vote. The riding was previously held by the Liberals.
May 18, 2004 - The 2004 Ontario budget is announced, and is very unpopular with the public, as it includes many broken promises including a tax increase and health care cuts.
June 1, 2004 - Bill 87, which would establish fixed election dates, is introduced in the Legislative Assembly.
August 9, 2004 - A poll by Environics shows the Liberals in second place for the first time since the last election. The NDP is also rising in support. According to the poll, the Progressive Conservatives lead with 37% followed by the Liberals with 35%, the NDP with 23% and the Greens with 4%. 
September 18, 2004 - John Tory becomes leader of the Ontario Progressive Conservative Party replacing outgoing former premier Ernie Eves and defeating Jim Flaherty and Frank Klees.
January 31, 2005 - Eves resigns his seat in the provincial legislature, clearing the way for Tory to run in the resulting byelection.
March 17, 2005 - John Tory is elected in the Dufferin-Peel-Wellington-Grey by-election, holding the seat for the Conservatives.
March 29, 2005 - John Tory is officially installed as the Leader of the Opposition.
August 18, 2005 - Speaker Alvin Curling resigns his Scarborough—Rouge River seat to accept a diplomatic appointment. A by-election must be called within six months.
October 26, 2005 - A by-election is called for Scarborough—Rouge River for November 24.
November 24, 2005 - Bas Balkissoon wins in the Scarborough-Rouge River by-election, holding the seat for the liberals.
November 29, 2005- Progressive Conservative MPPs Jim Flaherty, John Baird, and NDP MPP Marilyn Churley resign their seats in the provincial legislature to run for seats in the House of Commons in the 39th Canadian Federal Election.
March 1, 2006 - By-elections are called for the ridings of Toronto-Danforth, Nepean-Carleton, and Whitby-Ajax for March 30. These seats became vacant when they were resigned on November 29, 2005, so the MPP's could run in the federal election of January 2006.
See also
Politics of Ontario
List of Ontario political parties
Premier of Ontario
Leader of the Opposition (Ontario)
External links
Numerous Canadian Polls
Environics Polls
SES Research, Feb 17, 2006 poll
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